The best players in the world head now to the first major of the year at my beloved Harding Park. Will someone shoot 20 under par to win this event? I certainly hope not.

The rough is nasty and fairways are tight, but that doesn’t seem to deter these players from shooting low scores, and Harding is relatively short for PGA tour standards these days at just above 7300 yards. But will the thick summer fog typical of this area especially in August take its toll?

Will players like Brooks Koepka and boob boom De Chambeau hit it so far that the rough will be insignificant leaving these players wedges to the greens from the rough? I don’t know the answer, but since I nailed my under over scores at Torrey Pines, perhaps you’ll bet on my 5 top picks for Harding Park.

In my stable of picks will not includeTiger, as much as I’d like to see him in the hunt on Sunday, it won’t happen with his fragile back and temperatures that his body is not used too, its gonna be cold folks. I also don’t think Phil Mickelson will charge to the top at age 50. Nor will any other shorter hitter have a chance as the bombers have a HUGE advantage here like most PGA tour venues in this day and age.

So don’t waste your money on the older generation, it ain’t gonna happen for them. It’s going to be a 20 something winner or maybe even a 30 year old in Koepka. So here is my list where I am pretty sure a winner will emerge. But before I give it too you I’ll mention other players I don’t think will win. Dustin Johnson and Gary Woodland would normally be good picks here, but I don’t think either is in major championship form, Woodland recently faded in the hunt, and Johnson has been way too inconsistent.

So who are the good picks here?

The obvious pick is Justin Thomas, just off a fresh WGC victory yesterday and still motivated after his utter collapse at the Workday Charity Open event played at Muirfield Village in Ohio. I believe this newly crowned #1 player in the world is primed to win his first PGA Championship this week at Harding Park.

These are the rest of my picks:

2. Bryson De Chambeau

3. Rory McIlroy

4. Collin Morikawa

5. John Rahm

My two wild card picks are Daniel Berger and Xander Schauffele

Ok I know these picks are no big surprise, but with horses for courses, I believe that a winner will emerge from this group. Webb Simpson is playing great golf, but I think he’d need more length off the tee to challenge this converted par 72 in par 70 with holes 9 and 12 playing as par 4’s.

A great article I just read today written by Global Golf Post contributor John Steinbreder is a must read, check it out.

Stay tuned for more on the PGA Championship at Harding Park. And if your not subscribed to the Global Golf Post, you need to be, its free http://www.globalgolfpost.com

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